This-Drop
0x12c317bc4de7c603faf0de5215ab865685e5b054
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-82.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- TROY TROJANS
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
1079 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-109.83
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 20?
888 shares @ 47.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-420.94
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
839 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- SIENA SAINTS
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils
568 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-49.93
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
349 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
290 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
268 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.72
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
255 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
249 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-139.40
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.33Mar 30, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Pacers$153.75Mar 29, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?$6.01Mar 29, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?$7.18Mar 29, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?$1.51Mar 29, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?$3.56Mar 29, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$154.59Mar 29, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$113.04Mar 29, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?$1.58Mar 29, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?$1.58Mar 29, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Greimel be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?$34.86Mar 29, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Greimel be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?$81.34Mar 29, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$81.21Mar 28, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMBulls vs. Thunder$81.21Mar 28, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBulls vs. Thunder$57.66Mar 28, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLClippers vs. Pacers$57.66Mar 28, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. Pacers$31.17Mar 28, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLHawks vs. Celtics$31.17Mar 28, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Celtics$30.54Mar 27, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 23?$30.54Mar 24, 08:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $25.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 16:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 00:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".