Modest-Rosemary
0x12d86821ec58c1c8744e5960bd6316fd89fb74d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$95.90
Total PnL
$-15.7K
Realised
$-608.63
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
83 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$82.98
$0.58
- SENATORS
Penguins vs. Senators
11 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$11.00
$4.40
- YES
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.03
$0.09
- YES
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.89
$-0.15
- MARINERS
Yankees vs. Mariners
31497 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$0.00
$-15.1K
- WARRIORS
Warriors vs. Timberwolves
7 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.26
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Celtics
6 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.45
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- NO
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$82.40Dec 18, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Senators$6.60Dec 18, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.50 in August?$2.02Dec 18, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nico Hülkenberg finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?$3.00Dec 18, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 2025 Ryder Cup end in a tie?$3.09Dec 18, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$3.13Dec 18, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $3,400 September 29-October 5?$3.21Dec 18, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$3.31Dec 18, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?$4.22Dec 18, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abakar Ahamat win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$4.55Dec 18, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?$5.00Dec 18, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in July?$5.04Dec 18, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 Open Championship?$5.05Dec 18, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ximena Rincón win the Chilean presidential election?$5.22Dec 18, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $100 in August?$5.45Dec 18, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $122K on August 22?$7.00Dec 18, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1000 in July?$8.00Dec 18, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200k in October?$10.34Dec 18, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200K in September?$18.66Dec 18, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?$5.00Nov 25, 16:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $9.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 08:17 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 18, 18:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".