0x130bcc8e3d1f779fcebc203878f832f3ce2b3ae8
0x130bcc8e3d1f779fcebc203878f832f3ce2b3ae8
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
67
Open notional
$11.83
Total PnL
$-410.37
Realised
$-3.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- NO
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$6.02
$1.02
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$5.81
$1.16
- EVEN
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
2731 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-48.17
- ODD
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
1008 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- UNDER
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 3?
137 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
121 shares @ 42.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-51.14
- NO
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 9.5
60 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-29.86
- NO
Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 0.5
52 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-12.23
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on April 10?
35 shares @ 63.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-22.04
- PARIVISION
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs
31 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on April 28?$6.04Apr 29, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMRockets vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline$0.00Apr 29, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 28?$6.25Apr 28, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on April 28?$5.06Apr 28, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 27?$0.00Apr 28, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 28?$4.00Apr 28, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on April 28?$4.99Apr 28, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on April 28?$2.94Apr 28, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMJalen Suggs: Points O/U 3.5$5.28Apr 28, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 27?$5.19Apr 28, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYAaron Gordon: Points O/U 2.5$5.00Apr 27, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYJalen Suggs: Points O/U 3.5$0.12Apr 27, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYJalen Suggs: Points O/U 3.5$2.97Apr 27, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYChet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5$5.00Apr 27, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYJalen Suggs: Points O/U 3.5$0.02Apr 27, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?$2.90Apr 27, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$2.74Apr 27, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on April 27?$0.04Apr 27, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on April 27?$2.95Apr 27, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on April 27?$1.77Apr 27, 12:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 01:08 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 11:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.