International-Seabass
0x132c0f9b0fd57e60b6b32c41271452b4bca0c285
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-0.19
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
17000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
14754 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-400.93
- YES
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in August?
1587 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
1154 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Apple" during the Purple Heart ceremony on August 7?
1019 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 23?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
937 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during the Purple Heart ceremony on August 7?
934 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 18–25?
816 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
741 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.59Jul 19, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?$10.39Jul 11, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$41.44Jul 11, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$50.00Jul 7, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$10.24Jul 5, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$20.43May 30, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$40.92May 30, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 9, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 9, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$10.47May 9, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$0.40May 9, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$6.00May 9, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$3.17May 9, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$3.51May 9, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$0.01Mar 30, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$5.38Mar 30, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$5.39Mar 30, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$2.83Mar 30, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$2.08Mar 30, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in March 2026?$0.21Mar 30, 11:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $5.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 11:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 17:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.