0x134e6aca4c3a65b3de6aa90b73c912edd1772924
0x134e6aca4c3a65b3de6aa90b73c912edd1772924
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$12.67
Total PnL
$-292.23
Realised
$5.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$6.67
$5.74
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
2 shares @ 86.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.00
$0.27
- YES
GTA VI released before June 2026?
1337 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-32.09
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
561 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.81
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
80 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
65 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.04
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
BitBoy convicted?
45 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- GERMANY
Spread: Germany (-2.5)
42 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.58
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$0.00Jun 21, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?$1.03Jun 20, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$0.96Jun 20, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?$1.02Jun 20, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?$4.79Jun 20, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$1.73Jun 20, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5$5.12Jun 20, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5.18Jun 20, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5$4.96Jun 20, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-2.5)$4.90Jun 20, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-1.5)$5.08Jun 20, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5$4.96Jun 20, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?$4.49Jun 20, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 1.5$5.08Jun 20, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5$4.96Jun 20, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-2.5)$4.90Jun 20, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-1.5)$6.53Jun 20, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5$4.96Jun 20, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$5.32Jun 20, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$7.55Jun 20, 17:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $4.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 02:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.