0x135d6a7ca73bc0b6d3b95b9ed8d7b3f50dc456c0
0x135d6a7ca73bc0b6d3b95b9ed8d7b3f50dc456c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$298.24
Total PnL
$-43.2K
Realised
$2.4K
Win rate
100%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
2829 shares @ 14.0¢·now 4.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$115.98
$-280.05
- YES
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?
482 shares @ 10.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$98.83
$50.62
- YES
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 DR Congo?
537 shares @ 18.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$80.54
$-16.11
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?
310 shares @ 63.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.55
$-194.36
- YES
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 DR Congo?
268 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.34
$-46.98
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26723 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-480.98
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
10203 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-213.37
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
9615 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.23
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8917 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-481.50
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
7850 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 1 DR Congo?$99.99Jul 1, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 0 DR Congo?$49.99Jul 1, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?$49.99Jul 1, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?$964.30Jun 30, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-30?$638.56Jun 30, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?$964.30Jun 30, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?$100.00Jun 30, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-30?$500.00Jun 30, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5$99.99Jun 30, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$99.99Jun 30, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?$100.00Jun 30, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?$100.00Jun 30, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$100.00Jun 30, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco?$568.35Jun 30, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Morocco?$99.99Jun 30, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco?$99.99Jun 30, 01:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 30, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Japan?$100.00Jun 29, 17:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: South Africa 1 - 2 Canada?$99.99Jun 28, 16:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $133.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 00:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 16:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.