Parched-Polenta
0x137ff98578e2043100f1d33abcccdf3a1c44968d
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$167.47
Total PnL
$-409.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1429 shares @ 14.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$106.43
$-93.57
- DETROIT TIGERS
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers
96 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$49.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
313 shares @ 31.9¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.08
$-90.92
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
443 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.44
$-27.56
- BOSTON RED SOX
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
114 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-49.14
- MINNESOTA TWINS
Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays
112 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-49.16
- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals
109 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-49.17
- LOS ANGELES ANGELS
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals
103 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-49.22
Recent activity
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers$102.044h ago
- YIELD$0.0114h ago
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers$50.7215h ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers$50.762d ago
- YIELD$0.013d ago
- YIELD$0.014d ago
- YIELD$0.015d ago
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Houston Astros$106.935d ago
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays$50.005d ago
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals$50.005d ago
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals$50.005d ago
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Houston Astros$50.005d ago
- MAKER_REBATE$1.276d ago
- YIELD$0.016d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$92.566d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$310.486d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$200.006d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$200.006d ago
- YIELD$0.017d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $85.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 18d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".