Decisive-Athlete
0x13e0d9c6034bd60e1bb7305eb3f6ce7ede05c5ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$9.3K
Total PnL
$-670.74
Realised
$145.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
3093 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.0K
$67.42
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1500 shares @ 89.0¢·now 86.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.3K
$-32.25
- NO
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
1429 shares @ 91.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.2K
$-50.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1250 shares @ 80.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.2K
$210.00
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
1000 shares @ 73.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$885.00
$155.00
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
1195 shares @ 41.8¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$591.57
$91.57
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1136 shares @ 73.6¢·now 51.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$585.25
$-250.66
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
488 shares @ 50.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$178.05
$-65.95
- NO
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?
200 shares @ 73.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$165.00
$19.00
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
139 shares @ 72.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$129.17
$29.17
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.11Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 9, 00:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.