Keen-Consumption
0x13e126d765b860949abb890e24ac209d3a61bc86
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$8.46
Total PnL
$-2.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$2.44
$1.44
- YES
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.63
$-0.37
- YES
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.26
$-0.74
- YES
Will Powell say "Labor" 25+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$1.00Jan 27, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?$1.00Jan 27, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?$1.00Jan 27, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$1.00Jan 27, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 27, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?$1.00Jan 27, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Nov 6, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?$1.00Oct 16, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4000 in August?$2.22Oct 16, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on September 9?$1.00Sep 9, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Labor" 25+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?$1.00Aug 21, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?$1.00Aug 13, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4000 in August?$1.00Aug 4, 06:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 06:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 10:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".