Roasted-Genius
0x140282dd792ab60b6605e0dd521e73b229aec031
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$17.05
Total PnL
$-426.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
4 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.07
$0.07
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
3 shares @ 94.8¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.50
$0.07
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
2 shares @ 94.2¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.59
$0.06
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.41
$0.04
- NO
Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$1.27
$0.10
- NO
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$0.02
- NO
Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$0.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
1 shares @ 95.8¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$2.10Jul 1, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?$1.26Jul 1, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$2.98Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?$8.42Jun 19, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?$8.02Jun 17, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$1.07Jun 17, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?$1.45Jun 17, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$1.66Jun 17, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.49Jun 11, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?$2.13Jun 11, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude go down 9-11 times in May?$9.67Jun 11, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$1.00Jun 11, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 9-11 times in May?$8.93May 31, 01:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$1.02May 30, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?$1.66May 30, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colby Donaldson win Survivor Season 50?$1.68May 30, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$1.79May 30, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?$1.87May 30, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$2.65May 30, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?$2.01May 30, 01:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $17.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 07:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 06:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.