Thoughtful-Interest
0x1412967d8098a9dbe8863ac0abeb21b96da2dd35
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-39.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 11?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on December 26?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will CapCut - Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
600 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 23?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on April 3?
475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 22?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?$2.00Jun 2, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on June 2?$102.10Jun 2, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?$2.00Jun 2, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on June 2?$102.01Jun 1, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$103.10May 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$103.01May 25, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 23?$103.10May 23, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 23?$103.01May 21, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?$102.10May 21, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?$102.01May 6, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$0.00May 6, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$102.10May 6, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$102.00May 3, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 27?$102.09May 3, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 27?$102.00Apr 27, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$102.29Apr 27, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$102.00Apr 25, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 21?$102.09Apr 25, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 21?$102.00Apr 21, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 16?$1.00Apr 21, 12:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $68.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 11:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 18:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".