Uneven-Linen
0x142a081d85c97da9b563fb103107711d21fc5a03
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$29.78
Total PnL
$-79.84
Realised
$0.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$8.71
$0.01
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
9 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.31
$0.31
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in July?
6 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.60
$-0.00
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
5 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.79
$0.09
- NO
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 75.2¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$2.38
$-0.12
- YES
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 129m and 143m?
3200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will Microsoft have the best AI model on October 31?
3080 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.08
- YES
Will Cole Custer win the NASCAR Cup Series Championship 2025?
1770 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.77
- YES
Will Jonathan Barlow win the 2025 Detroit mayoral election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 18?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in July?$5.60Jul 19, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?$2.53Jul 11, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?$6.02Jul 1, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$6.49Jul 1, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?$6.00Jun 30, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$8.89Jun 25, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?$2.69Jun 23, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iraq win on 2026-06-22?$7.14Jun 23, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?$2.58Jun 22, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win on 2026-06-22?$7.00Jun 22, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?$7.60Jun 17, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$7.87Jun 14, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$2.34Jun 14, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$7.42Jun 14, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?$8.70Jun 7, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$6.25Jun 7, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?$7.45Jun 1, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$8.02Jun 1, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?$5.49Jun 1, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$7.66Jun 1, 16:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $4.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 22:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 15:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.