Necessary-Conflict
0x14a3cabfdd8f802cd734c845b22154ebd88af60e
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$771.51
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
338 shares @ 85.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$338.13
$48.13
- YES
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
228 shares @ 87.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$227.65
$27.65
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
111 shares @ 90.1¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$106.17
$6.17
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
113 shares @ 80.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.56
$9.56
- YES
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?
5624 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-3.8K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$90.72May 26, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$100.40May 26, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$201.21May 26, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$292.06May 26, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $800M one day after launch?$215.38Jan 10, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $800M one day after launch?$2.9KJan 10, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $800M one day after launch?$662.90Jan 10, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?$3.8KJan 10, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?$3.7KNov 29, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMKinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?$3.7KNov 29, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYKinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?$3.5KNov 28, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?$3.5KNov 28, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?$3.2KNov 24, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$3.2KNov 23, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$3.3KNov 10, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? $954.33Nov 10, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.0KNov 10, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 3?$0.00Nov 10, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 3?$1.0KNov 10, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 3?$1000.00Nov 3, 10:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 08:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 02:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.