Plump-Blackfish
0x14cafc53b742e47092a5dd8a872b5e5bf261e072
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-434.66
Realised
$-6.48
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will Santa deliver fewer than 7,900,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
500 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will Santa deliver between 8,000,000,000 and 8,100,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Santa deliver between 8,100,000,000 and 8,200,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
500 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-6.50
- YES
Will Santa deliver between 7,900,000,000 and 8,000,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
500 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Santa deliver more than 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-4.04
- YES
Will Santa deliver between 8,300,000,000 and 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
428 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-9.22
- CLIPPERS
Clippers vs. Thunder
147 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-14.70
- KINGS
Kings vs. Trail Blazers
82 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-21.32
- MAGIC
Magic vs. Nuggets
80 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- NO
Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
58 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?$1.08Jan 4, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$1.29Jan 4, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLNicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?$0.77Jan 4, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DoorDash report between 825 million and 850 million total orders in Q4 2025?$0.18Jan 4, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?$0.80Jan 4, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?$1.19Jan 4, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$1.59Jan 4, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.55Jan 4, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.50Jan 4, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4.00Jan 4, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.80Jan 4, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.50Jan 4, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?$3.36Jan 4, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$4.80Jan 4, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO before 2027?$4.89Jan 4, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLFlorida A&M Rattlers vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcats$5.00Jan 4, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$14.60Jan 4, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?$7.80Jan 4, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ryan Seacrest say "Champagne" on New Year's Rockin' Eve?$1.26Jan 4, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$12.00Jan 4, 01:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $18.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 20:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 4, 01:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.