Live-Bloom
0x14d00e9b750b7f2e4f8057224f3b8396910f34b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$185.78
Total PnL
$-139.30
Realised
$9.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
100 shares @ 81.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.51
$4.50
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
178 shares @ 56.2¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$81.83
$-18.17
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
89 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$6.67
$-1.33
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
63 shares @ 12.7¢·now 9.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$6.08
$-1.92
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
889 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$4.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
77 shares @ 17.6¢·now 2.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.70
$-11.90
- NO
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?
1410 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
208 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
132 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
114 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$9.21Jun 7, 20:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$8.15May 30, 15:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$81.00May 28, 15:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $56.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.