Vague-Souvenir
0x150497775038d5bbad2c0741c366318dc4c8cb2c
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$11.67
Total PnL
$-15.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
9 shares @ 64.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$9.35
$3.35
- YES
Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 9.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.24
$-3.76
- YES
Will Jiří Procházka become UFC champion in 2026?
5 shares @ 81.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$-2.91
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
3 shares @ 33.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jiří Procházka become UFC champion in 2026?$4.00Apr 4, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$5.00Apr 4, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Apr 2, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$6.00Apr 2, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$10.00Apr 2, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$1.00Apr 2, 06:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $4.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 06:13 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 10:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".