Blank-Initialize
0x151a4b7f606d8489cf09612544c0648a538d0ece
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
85
Open notional
$17.4K
Total PnL
$-106.50
Realised
$78.70
Win rate
79%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 85- NO
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?
1926 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.9K
$-3.45
- NO
Brex IPO before 2027?
1567 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$35.80
- YES
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
1218 shares @ 99.4¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.2K
$-7.59
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
867 shares @ 97.3¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$847.54
$4.41
- NO
Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?
728 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$722.94
$5.28
- NO
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
671 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$665.63
$6.65
- NO
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?
690 shares @ 93.3¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$657.66
$13.70
- NO
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?
627 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$621.74
$-0.98
- NO
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
633 shares @ 95.4¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$612.98
$9.23
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
600 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$596.70
$6.60
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$275.19Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$394.00Jun 12, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$37.88Jun 12, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$197.89Jun 12, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$243.06Jun 12, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$79.48Jun 12, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$73.56Jun 12, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$2.3KJun 12, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$22.63Jun 12, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$678.53Jun 12, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$11.67Jun 12, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Truist fail by June 30, 2026?$38.96Jun 12, 07:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?$100.90Jun 11, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?$150.00Jun 11, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$295.43Jun 11, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$70.00Jun 11, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$400.00Jun 11, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$486.91Jun 11, 16:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $190.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 01:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.