Light-Mayonnaise
0x15433540ca3794108e602bfd353189519af8baaf
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
139
Open notional
$50.7K
Total PnL
$-67.6K
Realised
$5.4K
Win rate
72%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 139- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
33691 shares @ 20.4¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.6K
$2.7K
- YES
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
8185 shares @ 20.8¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.4K
$5.7K
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
41233 shares @ 17.5¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.2K
$11.71
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
10836 shares @ 46.7¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.8K
$1.7K
- YES
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
5592 shares @ 33.5¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.2K
$335.65
- YES
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
8088 shares @ 16.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.1K
$850.15
- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
6586 shares @ 11.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$1.5K
$823.20
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
7554 shares @ 13.4¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.2K
$237.42
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
16144 shares @ 6.7¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$-27.11
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
5190 shares @ 13.3¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$856.43
$164.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$71.15Jun 13, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$5.43Jun 13, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$17.48Jun 13, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$17.48Jun 13, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$17.48Jun 13, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$17.48Jun 13, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$17.48Jun 13, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$40.20Jun 13, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$0.92Jun 13, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$0.61Jun 13, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$0.61Jun 13, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$0.03Jun 13, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$700.99Jun 13, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$3.06Jun 13, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$12.92Jun 13, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.43Jun 13, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.95Jun 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4.32Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$74.00Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$3.06Jun 13, 10:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $76.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 21:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 10:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.