Kosher-Icebreaker
0x154794795d978c5890b3f69264311f0bd966d066
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$29.8K
Total PnL
$699.92
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
79%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
4700 shares @ 95.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.6K
$105.16
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
4000 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.9K
$80.31
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3794 shares @ 82.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.2K
$57.62
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
3000 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 29, 2026$3.0K
$1.50
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1200 shares @ 60.3¢·now 76.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$922.20
$198.60
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
1100 shares @ 70.9¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$819.50
$39.50
- NO
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
792 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$764.10
$51.03
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
759 shares @ 95.3¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$737.00
$14.34
- NO
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?
772 shares @ 88.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$714.34
$28.13
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
724 shares @ 87.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$633.19
$-0.09
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWorld Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?$916.28Jun 13, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?$276.31Jun 13, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by June 30?$457.38Jun 13, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$339.50Jun 13, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$1.00Jun 13, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$18.44Jun 13, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$18.90Jun 13, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$0.01Jun 13, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$0.01Jun 13, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$0.02Jun 13, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$0.02Jun 13, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$0.02Jun 13, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$0.02Jun 13, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$0.15Jun 13, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$0.25Jun 13, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$0.32Jun 13, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$0.11Jun 13, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$0.12Jun 13, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$0.12Jun 13, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$0.14Jun 13, 19:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $120.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 17:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 20:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.