Handy-Grand
0x155b680bd2a3918485763b2a1642380a5c107aaf
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
105
Open notional
$4.94
Total PnL
$141.35
Realised
$320.11
Win rate
94%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 105- NO
NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 21?
335 shares @ 0.3¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$3.35
$2.34
- NO
NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 20?
317 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.59
$0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
4045 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-18.31
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?
3499 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1853 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- YES
Will LIU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?
1392 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.35
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?
1162 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C or below on March 5?
1144 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?
1130 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.13
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 20?$2.01Jul 21, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 20?$0.82Jul 21, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 20?$0.00Jul 21, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?$5.10Jul 20, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 20?$0.18Jul 20, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kwa Na Kwa win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?$0.01Jul 20, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?$0.91Jul 20, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?$1.10Jul 20, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?$0.18Jul 20, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?$0.51Jul 20, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?$0.34Jul 20, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?$1.16Jul 20, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 21?$1.00Jul 20, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?$6.80Jul 19, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$2.65Jul 19, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$1.35Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?$0.44Jul 19, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?$0.10Jul 19, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?$0.12Jul 19, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?$0.09Jul 19, 20:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
94% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 19:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 08:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.