Tame-Left
0x1584cb3b5a84944bd0db072c43d67189397071b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$134.38
Total PnL
$245.31
Realised
$10.9K
Win rate
76%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
14145 shares @ -0.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$56.58
$75.45
- YES
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
14145 shares @ -0.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$35.36
$54.23
- YES
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
14145 shares @ -0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$21.22
$40.09
- YES
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
14145 shares @ -0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$7.07
$25.94
- YES
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
14145 shares @ -0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$7.07
$25.94
- YES
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
14145 shares @ -0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$7.07
$25.94
- YES
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
275569 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-280.80
- YES
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
265968 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-222.35
- YES
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
265062 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-284.15
- YES
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?
252621 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-253.38
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$94.51Jul 20, 14:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$116.98Jul 11, 14:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
72/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
76% win rate over 34 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
34 closed markets, 76% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.