0x158de6cfbbaeafb3fb1b157e0756be855ab51aea
0x158de6cfbbaeafb3fb1b157e0756be855ab51aea
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$120.35
Total PnL
$-176.48
Realised
$-4.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- HEATHER WATSON
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Tatiana Prozorova vs Heather Watson
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$12.61
$2.61
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$11.35
$1.35
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?
307 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$10.74
$0.74
- NO
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$10.42
$0.42
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
10 shares @ 96.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.33
$0.33
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
41 shares @ 24.3¢·now 22.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$9.44
$-0.56
- NO
Will Donald Trump dance on June 24, 2026?
24 shares @ 42.1¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$8.67
$-1.33
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
12 shares @ 82.1¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.34
$-1.66
- YES
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.41
$-3.59
Recent activity
- REDEEMWimbledon, Qualification ATP: Tristan Boyer vs Andrea Pellegrino$15.38Jun 24, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWimbledon, Qualification ATP: Laslo Djere vs Michael Zheng$17.86Jun 24, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMBad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarro$25.00Jun 24, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMBad Homburg Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Clara Tauson$21.74Jun 24, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?$10.49Jun 24, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarro$10.28Jun 24, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?$2.76Jun 24, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?$10.49Jun 24, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?$10.49Jun 24, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMLexus Eastbourne Open: Taylor Fritz vs Jan Choinski$6.02Jun 24, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMSet Handicap: Gentzsch (-1.5) vs Basing (+1.5)$17.24Jun 24, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$10.17Jun 24, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLexus Eastbourne Open: Ugo Humbert vs Jenson Brooksby$10.01Jun 24, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMMallorca Championships: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse$23.81Jun 24, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYLexus Eastbourne Open: Arthur Fery vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo$10.34Jun 24, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYLexus Eastbourne Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Panna Udvardy$10.35Jun 24, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBad Homburg Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Gabriela Ruse$10.23Jun 24, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMBad Homburg Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreeva$22.73Jun 24, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?$10.39Jun 24, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$10.48Jun 24, 09:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $9.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 16:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.