Clever-Discrimination
0x15a9f850834f8c766a924a26d5dacecf904a7a8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$223.99
Total PnL
$-6.02
Realised
$0.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-16 House seat?
53 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$50.09
$-0.26
- NO
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?
53 shares @ 95.6¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.45
$-1.22
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?
51 shares @ 97.5¢·now 94.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$48.27
$-1.48
- NO
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
52 shares @ 96.9¢·now 92.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$48.20
$-2.18
- NO
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?
23 shares @ 98.3¢·now 96.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$22.09
$-0.52
- NO
Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
7 shares @ 99.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$5.89
$-0.59
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?$50.96May 15, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?$5.27May 15, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?$44.66May 15, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?$6.48May 14, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYPluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?$50.67May 11, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?$50.54May 11, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the NY-16 House seat?$50.35May 8, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $130 May 4-10?$49.95May 7, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?$50.96May 7, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 May 4-10?$49.90May 5, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?$3.92May 5, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?$15.70May 5, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?$15.70May 5, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?$14.71May 5, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?$49.93May 4, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLSharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?$38.45May 4, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLSharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?$10.45May 4, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.53May 4, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$24.27May 4, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?$50.81May 4, 11:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $33.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 08:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".