Yearly-Menorah
0x15cc0621f61451344839540f6e385d2824e47121
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$148.99
Total PnL
$-55.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
55 shares @ 91.3¢·now 91.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$49.92
$-0.08
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
43 shares @ 92.9¢·now 96.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.38
$1.38
- NO
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
35 shares @ 86.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$34.76
$4.76
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
71 shares @ 15.5¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.82
$0.82
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
22 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$11.11
$0.11
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 8?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
22 shares @ 55.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $40.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.