Long-Crop
0x15d92a5d832bd5e4d16010d8701b660e4ff56c00
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$67.11
Total PnL
$-376.85
Realised
$-14.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
80 shares @ 90.0¢·now 83.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$67.11
$-4.89
- NO
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
12905 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-30.21
- YES
Will Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
2537 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-277.75
- NO
Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
250 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-49.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$69.00Jun 5, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$54.95Jun 5, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$14.58Jun 5, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.00Jun 4, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$69.06Jun 2, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.04Jun 2, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$68.02Jun 1, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$1.04May 30, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$7.24May 30, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$26.55May 30, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?$33.80May 7, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$3.80May 6, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$1.95May 6, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$0.50May 6, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$2.30May 6, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$0.26May 6, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$6.53May 6, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$0.25May 6, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$0.25May 6, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?$15.00May 6, 06:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $9.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 05:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.