Loving-Conclusion
0x15fbd312f1925882ef83ba5aa69d7e2e5f6b252d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$57.9K
Total PnL
$6.0K
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
63846 shares @ 77.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.9K
$6.1K
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
2000 shares @ 64.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.0K
$676.00
- UP
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 17?
208 shares @ 49.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$87.35
$-14.56
- UNDER
LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?
101 shares @ 75.6¢·now 11.6¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$11.77
$-64.95
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
7 shares @ 65.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.21
$-0.55
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.79
$0.02
- YES
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.50
$-0.06
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.50
$-0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 16?
200 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.10
$-145.90
- NO
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 9?
2000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$5.95Jun 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 17?$62.50Jun 17, 00:26 UTC
- REWARD$0.48Jun 17, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMIraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5$1.6KJun 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$117.70Jun 17, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$92.80Jun 17, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$1.1KJun 17, 00:09 UTC
- REWARD$11.22Jun 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5$295.00Jun 16, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5$195.96Jun 16, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5$10.00Jun 16, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5$15.20Jun 16, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5$44.92Jun 16, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5$221.95Jun 16, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5$177.77Jun 16, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5$312.14Jun 16, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5$248.14Jun 16, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 17?$8.53Jun 16, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 17?$2.45Jun 16, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 17?$63.65Jun 16, 22:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $302.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 20:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.