Corrupt-Likelihood
0x160325d2b55aab20e64715abaf3c446da1ef5b8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-253.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
4640 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
371 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
107 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
62 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
59 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
55 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.40
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
50 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
47 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
46 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.10Jun 2, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$0.00May 23, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$5.23May 22, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$28.22May 19, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$25.22May 19, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$12.18May 19, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$5.21May 19, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$51.33May 16, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$25.24May 12, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$25.03May 12, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$5.25May 12, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$5.33May 1, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$64.80May 1, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$5.00Apr 25, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$40.00Apr 25, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$0.00Apr 21, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$0.00Apr 21, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$0.00Apr 21, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$9.70Apr 21, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$6.00Apr 20, 18:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $13.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 13:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 06:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.