Unfolded-Coral
0x1617c0c92a932ba5b0dd02d6096c1d8fe19ed884
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$520.50
Total PnL
$-1.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
235 shares @ 97.3¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$228.77
$0.12
- NO
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
187 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$185.02
$-0.09
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
94 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$93.39
$-0.14
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $285 end of July?
14 shares @ 99.0¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$13.32
$-0.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?$18.40Jul 23, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$185.18Jul 23, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $285 end of July?$14.24Jul 23, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?$93.53Jul 23, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$96.88Jul 23, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?$17.80Jul 8, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$229.09Jul 8, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$96.00Jul 8, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.16Jul 8, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$393.00Jul 1, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$35.00Jul 1, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by June 30?$110.00Jul 1, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$34.90Jun 25, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$84.23Jun 16, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$119.23Jun 16, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$44.69Jun 15, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$49.76Jun 15, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$0.00Jun 14, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$179.46Jun 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$99.70Jun 14, 01:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $58.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 02:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 12:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.