Variable-Pedal
0x163acb229897fd6a4b31b1680d6b6bd318566388
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$749.99
Total PnL
$25.88
Realised
$15.05
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
430 shares @ 85.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$410.12
$44.96
- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?
946 shares @ 37.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$316.98
$-33.02
- NO
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 32.9¢·now 41.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.26
$0.26
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.21
$0.21
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- NO
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.08
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week?$358.828h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$352.268h ago
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?$1.008h ago
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$1.0014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$1.0014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1.0014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$1.0014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$1.0014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$1.0123h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$715.0023h ago
- TRADESELLWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$715.2923h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.001d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.001d ago
- REDEEMWill David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?$1.331d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$1.031d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.021d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$1.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?$1.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$1.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$1.001d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $171.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 7d ago
- Last active
- 8h ago
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
