Wide-Eyed-Dark
0x167a807987c8da3aea97bc36cb394fc04d3c91d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
101
Open notional
$10.0K
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-363.24
Win rate
4%
53 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 101- NO
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
698 shares @ 79.9¢·now 70.9¢·exp Nov 5, 2026$495.19
$-63.00
- NO
Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
564 shares @ 85.5¢·now 87.2¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$492.08
$9.43
- YES
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
720 shares @ 76.6¢·now 67.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$482.50
$-69.50
- YES
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
820 shares @ 64.4¢·now 58.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2026$475.71
$-52.29
- NO
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
538 shares @ 88.8¢·now 80.5¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$432.92
$-44.89
- YES
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027?
616 shares @ 91.0¢·now 66.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$412.37
$-148.65
- NO
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?
455 shares @ 93.4¢·now 88.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$404.08
$-21.00
- NO
Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
428 shares @ 91.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$374.37
$-17.10
- NO
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?
436 shares @ 88.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$364.02
$-19.62
- NO
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
399 shares @ 88.6¢·now 91.2¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$363.57
$10.45
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the NV-03 House seat?$4.95Aug 18, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the NV-03 House seat?$5.50Aug 18, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?$25.25Aug 18, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?$46.60Aug 18, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?$14.91Aug 18, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?$69.14Aug 18, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?$40.07Aug 18, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?$200.00Aug 18, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Armando González (Guadalajara) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Liga MX season?$18.78Aug 18, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Armando González (Guadalajara) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Liga MX season?$19.63Aug 18, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLPrintr FDV above $1B one day after launch?$458.89Aug 18, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLPrintr FDV above $1B one day after launch?$3.89Aug 18, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLPrintr FDV above $1B one day after launch?$18.74Aug 18, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLPrintr FDV above $1B one day after launch?$44.78Aug 18, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLPrintr FDV above $1B one day after launch?$68.28Aug 18, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrintr FDV above $1B one day after launch?$96.08Aug 18, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrintr FDV above $1B one day after launch?$103.91Aug 18, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrintr FDV above $1B one day after launch?$65.68Aug 18, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrintr FDV above $1B one day after launch?$67.13Aug 18, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrintr FDV above $1B one day after launch?$67.19Aug 18, 11:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 53 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
53 closed markets, 4% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $71.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 08:51 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 12:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 53 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.