OtherExpires Jan 1, 2027

Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?

Probability

50¢

-0.5pp

24h

+0.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$834.25

Probability (last 7 days)

-3.5pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 05:00Apr 25, 2026, 04:37

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 6024.4h
LOW
04:37Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6024h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
04:37Price
Probability down -3.5pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability down -3.5pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability down -3.5pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability down -3.5pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
22:00Price
Probability down -3.5pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability down -3.5pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
14:00Price
Probability down -3.5pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
13:00Price
Probability down -4.5pp
to 49¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability down -4.5pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability down -3.5pp
to 49¢
MEDIUM
10:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
09:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability down -5.0pp
to 49¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability down -7.0pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -4.5pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -4.5pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -4.5pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -4.5pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -4.5pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -5.0pp
to 49¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 49¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 49¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

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Category · Other

Market Description

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "High" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the DFM Real Estate Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk

End date: Jan 1, 2027
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Binary

No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket