0x1698b168bb373369af8cf58c33ebb1c15b334f46
0x1698b168bb373369af8cf58c33ebb1c15b334f46
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$64.69
Total PnL
$-5.49
Realised
$-1.33
Win rate
30%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
7 shares @ 67.9¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.56
$0.56
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 46.6¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.88
$-0.12
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.79
$0.13
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
5 shares @ 85.5¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.53
$0.53
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.37
$1.37
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?
4 shares @ 89.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$4.31
$0.31
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.06
$3.06
- YES
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
11 shares @ 27.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 40.3¢·now 36.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.68
$-0.32
- NO
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?
2 shares @ 81.8¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.27
$0.27
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$0.00Jun 8, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$1.00Jun 8, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 8?$1.00Jun 8, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$0.19Jun 8, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$0.12Jun 8, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 8?$1.91Jun 8, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 8?$1.00Jun 8, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$1.00Jun 8, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$1.00Jun 8, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$1.50Jun 8, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.08Jun 8, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$1.00Jun 8, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win on 2026-06-07?$0.35Jun 8, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win on 2026-06-07?$0.80Jun 8, 01:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win on 2026-06-07?$0.07Jun 8, 01:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 8?$0.90Jun 8, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 8?$0.02Jun 8, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 8?$0.11Jun 8, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 8?$0.06Jun 8, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 8?$0.01Jun 8, 01:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 20:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 03:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.