Difficult-Judgment
0x16c0d806e2687467c6dcd5f70a9f9b5bf3a238ac
Quality score
61/100
Open positions
23
Open notional
$252.42
Total PnL
$-84.07
Realised
$-8.95
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Bilibili Gaming qualify to MSI 2026?
50 shares @ 95.4¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$46.48
$-1.22
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?
50 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$42.50
$1.00
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
50 shares @ 78.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.75
$-2.25
- NO
Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?
20 shares @ 85.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$19.10
$2.10
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?
20 shares @ 95.5¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$18.95
$-0.15
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?
20 shares @ 86.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$16.90
$-0.30
- YES
Blue wave in 2026?
20 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$16.70
$0.10
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
20 shares @ 81.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$16.60
$0.40
- NO
Will Ritesh Tandon advance from the CA-17 primary?
20 shares @ 87.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$14.10
$-3.30
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
20 shares @ 77.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.90
$-6.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 22?$0.7722d ago
- REDEEMWill Amy Klobuchar vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?$20.0022d ago
- REDEEMWill Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?$20.0022d ago
- REDEEMGPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?$20.0022d ago
- REWARD$6.7029d ago
- REWARD$0.3529d ago
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 110 seats?$39.3029d ago
- TRADESELLWill Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$41.2029d ago
- TRADESELLWill Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$1.3230d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$1.3230d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$0.4830d ago
- TRADESELLWill Tisza win at least 90 seats?$7.5030d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.5430d ago
- TRADESELLWill Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.3630d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.4030d ago
- TRADESELLWill Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.3530d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.3530d ago
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?$1.7430d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?$1.8230d ago
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?$0.6830d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $9.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 30d ago
- Last active
- 22d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.