Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?
Probability
5¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$139.55
Liquidity
$4.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
-3.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 185.6h
- 06:21SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 186h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 5¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 5¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 5¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 5¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 5¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 5¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 5¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 5¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 5¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 5¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 5¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 5¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 5¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 5¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 5¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 5¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 5¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 12¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kim Kardashian receives a passing score on the California Bar Exam by May 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of all California State Bar Exams within this market's timeframe are not known by the specified end date, this market may remain open until May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which, if results remain unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the California State Bar Association, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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