Compassionate-Vignette
0x16c17e8ab9871368987a1997c9565ea40b6d7860
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$54.50
Total PnL
$-3.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$10.09
$0.09
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on February 9?
9 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$9.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.05
$0.05
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
8 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.61
$0.61
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$7.01
$0.01
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
4 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.49
$0.49
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$3.19
$0.19
- NO
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?
3 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.03
$0.03
- NO
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $4B one day after launch?$2.00Feb 8, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on February 9?$9.00Feb 8, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Feb 8, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$7.00Feb 8, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 29?$5.00Feb 8, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?$7.02Feb 8, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$8.54Feb 8, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$9.02Feb 8, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?$8.00Jan 28, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?$3.00Jan 28, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.00Jan 28, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$4.00Jan 28, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?$7.00Jan 28, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $3B one day after launch?$3.00Jan 28, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 29?$5.00Jan 28, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 17?$3.11Jan 28, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 12?$8.01Jan 28, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMRanger FDV above $40M one day after launch?$20.02Jan 28, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 17?$3.00Jan 11, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$9.00Jan 11, 19:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $7.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 12:59 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 20:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".