Sniveling-Neighbourhood
0x16cc1c972dec76e329c19a941d94f9d13f62c623
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$10.55
Total PnL
$-9.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.79
$0.79
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$1.26
$0.26
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$0.43
$-0.57
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$1.00Jan 23, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 23, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$1.00Jan 23, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 23, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party for the People win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$1.00Jan 23, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.00Jan 23, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$1.00Jan 23, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$1.00Jan 23, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.00Jan 23, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?$1.00Jan 23, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$1.00Jan 23, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.00Jan 23, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$1.00Jan 23, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Huliaipole by January 15?$1.59Jan 23, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?$1.72Jan 23, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.02Jan 23, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$2.17Jan 23, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?$2.30Jan 23, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?$1.00Dec 18, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Huliaipole by January 15?$1.00Dec 18, 12:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
3/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 12:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 08:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.