Astonishing-Pie
0x17118a8d9bdba0c188931fc533a4019583a08021
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$20.06
Total PnL
$-0.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$10.43Jul 10, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$10.38Jun 2, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the IL-08 House seat?$4.45Apr 23, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLSolstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?$4.62Apr 23, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's remarks not air?$1.85Apr 23, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 12?$4.94Apr 23, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 12?$4.15Apr 10, 03:21 UTC
- REWARD$0.17Apr 3, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.02Apr 3, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?$1.80Apr 2, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?$1.80Apr 2, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's remarks not air?$1.75Apr 2, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Farmer" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$12.72Apr 2, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Farmer" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$14.60Apr 2, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$1.40Apr 2, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$4.42Apr 2, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago Mercantile Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$19.30Apr 2, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$1.60Apr 2, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$4.60Apr 2, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chicago Mercantile Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$19.34Apr 2, 12:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $23.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 2, 11:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 11:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.