Intent-Phase
0x1715fb4454ec955b280074799009c8da463e6499
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
185
Open notional
$14.67
Total PnL
$-741.26
Realised
$18.65
Win rate
73%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 185- NO
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 20, 2029$4.79
$-0.21
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 51.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.17
$0.17
- YES
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$1.88
$-0.13
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.08
$0.08
- NO
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
13 shares @ 7.4¢·now 3.8¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.49
$-0.47
- YES
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
31 shares @ 4.9¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.46
$-1.05
- PATRIOTS
Seahawks vs. Patriots
1814 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-40.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
1120 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$3.25Jun 13, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUnited States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score$0.06Jun 13, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score$1.03Jun 13, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.03Jun 13, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay to score first vs. United States?$1.03Jun 13, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.03Jun 13, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.03Jun 13, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$0.93Jun 13, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.83Jun 13, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.03Jun 13, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.03Jun 13, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jun 13, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.03Jun 13, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$1.07Apr 28, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$3.19Apr 28, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$10.61Apr 28, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$1.07Apr 28, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.07Apr 28, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$1.07Apr 28, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$0.00Apr 28, 23:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 22:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 02:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.