Frigid-Pusher
0x17228b1ae1ce5288f3d485db83461b6292d0165a
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$83.42
Total PnL
$-77.27
Realised
$-0.77
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
20 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.00
$13.60
- NO
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$18.63
$8.54
- NO
US military draft authorized in 2026?
11 shares @ 78.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.91
$1.96
- YES
Will the next elected US president be a woman?
57 shares @ 18.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.57
$0.29
- NO
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
8 shares @ 88.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.56
$0.52
- YES
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 71.8¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.30
$-19.53
- YES
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?
37 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.76
$-0.37
- YES
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.07
$-1.93
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
7 shares @ 62.2¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.40
$-2.85
- YES
Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?
5 shares @ 3.4¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$0.21
$0.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMValorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffs$0.00Mar 26, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$0.00Mar 26, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 18?$0.00Mar 26, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$0.00Mar 26, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.00Mar 26, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMSenators vs. Capitals$0.00Mar 26, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Mar 26, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5$0.00Mar 26, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 18?$0.00Mar 26, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 18?$0.00Mar 26, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$0.00Mar 26, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMMurcia: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Roberto Carballes Baena$0.00Mar 26, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Mar 26, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)$0.00Mar 26, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 18?$0.00Mar 26, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-14?$0.00Mar 26, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?$0.00Mar 26, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$0.00Mar 26, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on March 18?$0.00Mar 26, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$0.00Mar 26, 09:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 09:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 09:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.