0x174705dd5489acbeb86023c4ab4baffb3a543b00
0x174705dd5489acbeb86023c4ab4baffb3a543b00
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$5.89
Total PnL
$-20.20
Realised
$-0.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
25 shares @ 25.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.89
$-0.36
- YES
Will "LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
178 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-8.23
- YES
Will "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
72 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.32
- YES
Will "COWARD by Lukas DHONT" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
25 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
20 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
15 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$25.00May 24, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$25.00May 24, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?$0.00May 22, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?$0.00May 22, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$1.39May 20, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$1.16May 19, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.80May 17, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.90May 17, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$1.20May 17, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$1.00May 12, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.50May 12, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.80May 12, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.90May 12, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$1.10May 12, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.48May 12, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.60May 12, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.98May 12, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "COWARD by Lukas DHONT" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.30May 12, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "COWARD by Lukas DHONT" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.20May 12, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.06May 8, 07:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 00:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 20:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.