Immense-Toy
0x177378c10e14dd71df4c86a92f8199500a3c47ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-211.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23?
219 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.29
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 11?
196 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.37
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 28?
156 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 25?
138 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 19-25?
120 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 11?
99 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 27?
97 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 30?
90 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.71
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on March 19?
90 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 31?
89 shares @ 98.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-87.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 3?$1.75Jun 2, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1?$2.00May 31, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 26?$94.70May 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 26?$92.90May 26, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 24?$2.76May 23, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23?$3.52May 23, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$1.67May 18, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 11?$32.19May 17, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 11?$1.47May 11, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 26?$74.17May 10, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 26?$0.00May 2, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 28?$1.51Apr 28, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 26?$72.39Apr 26, 00:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 20?$67.81Apr 26, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 20?$65.23Apr 19, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum ETF Flows on April 17?$61.07Apr 19, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum ETF Flows on April 17?$0.12Apr 17, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum ETF Flows on April 17?$59.67Apr 17, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 11?$1.28Apr 12, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,050 on March 28?$60.26Apr 12, 01:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $22.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 02:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 19:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.