United-Lamp
0x1778082974539c98b5398218a686bfac01801e3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$242.83
Total PnL
$-12.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
38 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$37.88
$12.88
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
29 shares @ 67.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$29.45
$9.46
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
29 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.01
$1.01
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
26 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$25.56
$0.56
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
24 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.34
$1.34
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
23 shares @ 64.2¢·now 90.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.11
$6.11
- YES
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$15.63
$5.63
- YES
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.29
$9.29
- NO
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.49
$1.49
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$10.87
$0.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$30.00Apr 5, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$5.00Apr 5, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$15.00Apr 5, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$25.00Apr 5, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$15.00Mar 27, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$25.00Feb 22, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$25.00Feb 17, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$20.00Feb 17, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 17, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$10.00Feb 15, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$10.00Feb 15, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$10.00Feb 15, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$20.00Feb 15, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$10.00Feb 15, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$5.00Feb 15, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$5.00Feb 15, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by March 31, 2026?$10.00Feb 15, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.00Feb 15, 18:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $14.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 18:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 17:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.