Used-Resource
0x17792557390c20b73e39f87c5ef617242fcd915a
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$37.77
Total PnL
$-391.67
Realised
$-65.98
Win rate
0%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
54 shares @ 56.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$37.77
$7.77
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
101 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
80 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-41.04
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
67 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
55 shares @ 45.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
49 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
48 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
42 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?$3.55Aug 16, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$0.00Aug 14, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$5.17Aug 14, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?$1.56Aug 14, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.79Aug 14, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$5.17Aug 14, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$3.72Aug 14, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$5.13Aug 14, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$7.61Aug 14, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$5.12Aug 14, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?$4.06Aug 14, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$0.00Aug 14, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$5.75Aug 14, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$5.05Aug 14, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$0.62Aug 14, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$5.16Aug 14, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$3.83Aug 14, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$5.14Aug 14, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$6.87Aug 14, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$5.10Aug 14, 10:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $4.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 12, 07:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 10:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.