Arctic-Meet
0x178f9007bf78dfd4f6b2acf687fb227b4c1e45b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
102
Open notional
$376.31
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-378.03
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 102- NO
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
145 shares @ 55.3¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$135.89
$55.89
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
74 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$73.76
$3.76
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
70 shares @ 63.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$64.05
$19.95
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
38 shares @ 79.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.98
$5.98
- NO
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?
22 shares @ 52.2¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.65
$7.25
- NO
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.87
$5.87
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 57.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.77
$3.77
- NO
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.30
$3.31
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.34
$-0.66
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.68
$-4.32
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 5, 02:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 30, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $27.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.