Live-Underwriting
0x17a55b84d39e643e0a28a5f7a529d5254c7dc36f
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$-786.08
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?
33389 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?
8049 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-56.00
- YES
Was Kanye hacked?
7634 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-160.98
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?
7538 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-136.84
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 19-25?
4635 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-99.67
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
3553 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.66
- YES
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
567 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-24.46
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
519 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-60.18
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
403 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$659.87Apr 29, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?$241.10Apr 29, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?$352.28Apr 26, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$150.00Apr 26, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$0.11Apr 26, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$1.05Apr 26, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$0.44Apr 26, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$574.62Apr 26, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$2.8KMar 1, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.6KFeb 28, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$560.09Feb 14, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$15.91Feb 14, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$981.46Feb 14, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.0KJan 30, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$10.66Jan 19, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$490.00Jan 19, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro out by January 31, 2026?$7.2KJan 3, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro out by March 31, 2026?$25.0KJan 3, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by January 31, 2026?$719.41Jan 3, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by January 31, 2026?$1.1KJan 3, 06:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 23, 09:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 18:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".