Honored-March
0x183c20f7137857bb7ce012efb489c57e7fe0ca7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$876.00
Total PnL
$288.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
585 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$585.00
$374.40
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?
157 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$157.00
$116.18
- YES
Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
133 shares @ 80.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$132.87
$26.25
- NO
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
133 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$1.13
$-21.39
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?
157 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-13.51
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?
157 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-17.27
- NO
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
157 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-69.08
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
111 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-67.71
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
43 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-38.27
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?
15 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$23.10Apr 28, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$107.26Apr 28, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$69.08Mar 26, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?$40.82Mar 26, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?$17.27Mar 26, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?$1.50Mar 26, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?$13.51Mar 26, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$18.00Mar 11, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$72.00Mar 11, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$36.00Mar 11, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$12.60Mar 11, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$72.00Mar 11, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: February$43.00Mar 11, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$450.00Mar 11, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$38.27Feb 26, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: February$4.35Feb 26, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$67.71Feb 5, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$133.20Jan 8, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$22.20Jan 8, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$11.10Jan 8, 22:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $71.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 12:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 08:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.