Tedious-Necessity
0x1851cc2a59239f189b52c51df00d3e1e4b537016
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
61
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-17.9K
Realised
$-148.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
1806 shares @ 73.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.8K
$470.06
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
509 shares @ 39.3¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$150.21
$-49.79
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.08
$5.08
- YES
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
4651 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
3085 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-894.55
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
2614 shares @ 76.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
2410 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- BAYER 04 LEVERKUSEN
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
1648 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-543.98
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
1579 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$206.07Jul 12, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.3KJul 12, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.2KJul 12, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$65.64Jul 12, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$2.0KJul 12, 01:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.35Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$1.2KJul 12, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$61.74Jul 11, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.28Jul 11, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.0KJul 11, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.0KJul 11, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$1.0KJul 11, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$454.90Jul 11, 21:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5$1.0KJul 10, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5$512.88Jul 10, 19:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$5.5K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jul 6, 03:50 UTC → Jul 6, 03:44 UTC
- BUYWill Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$5.5K@87¢Jul 6, 03:44 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$5.5K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
$5.5K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $707.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 16:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.