0x188f08f4ea40cf54b2188920e060cb321c42b075
0x188f08f4ea40cf54b2188920e060cb321c42b075
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
164
Open notional
$152.22
Total PnL
$-48.58
Realised
$-0.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 164- YES
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$90.91
$89.91
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.70
$6.70
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
9 shares @ 11.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.55
$7.55
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
8 shares @ 3.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$7.92
$7.68
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
15 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?
6 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.56
$3.56
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" during his next video?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$3.45
$2.45
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$2.17
$1.17
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 5+ times during his next video?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.60
$0.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$5.00Apr 13, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$7.00Apr 13, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$3.00Apr 13, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$3.00Apr 13, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$3.00Apr 13, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$3.00Apr 13, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$5.00Apr 13, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$1.00Apr 13, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$1.00Apr 13, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$1.00Apr 13, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?$1.00Apr 13, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$0.50Apr 13, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA 6 launch postponed again?$1.00Apr 13, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$8.00Apr 13, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$1.00Apr 13, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before GTA VI?$1.00Apr 13, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$1.00Apr 13, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?$1.00Apr 13, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Impressive" during his next video?$1.00Apr 13, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" during his next video?$1.00Apr 13, 18:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 18:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 18:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.