Watchful-Plunger
0x1890f3de419014c80293f7e93fb06162a0b0f813
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$6.2K
Total PnL
$-24.0K
Realised
$-472.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
10240 shares @ 52.4¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.0K
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
4215 shares @ 23.7¢·now 51.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.2K
$1.2K
- YES
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
128983 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-23.4K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.33Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.39Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.39Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.39Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.38Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.36Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.35Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.34Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.31Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.