Grotesque-Virtue
0x18aa400a28e844657dcf0d15204812dc50f90373
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$12.06
Total PnL
$-1.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.96
$0.96
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- YES
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be less than $1,130,000 by February 1?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
MLS: Will Austin FC beat FC Dallas?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$1.00Feb 9, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$1.00Jan 30, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.00Jan 23, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win UEFA Group E for 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Jan 8, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Josh Allen be the Top Fantasy Quarterback of the 2025-26 NFL Regular Season?$1.05Jan 8, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill no listed leader be out in 2025?$1.10Jan 8, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.35Jan 8, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.37Jan 8, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?$1.43Jan 8, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be less than $1,130,000 by February 1?$1.00Jan 7, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$1.00Dec 28, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Allen be the Top Fantasy Quarterback of the 2025-26 NFL Regular Season?$1.00Dec 19, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no listed leader be out in 2025?$1.00Dec 12, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?$1.00Dec 3, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ohio State win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?$1.00Nov 24, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by March 31, 2026?$1.00Nov 17, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model on October 31?$1.00Nov 7, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?$1.36Nov 7, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Nov 7, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model on October 31?$1.00Oct 31, 11:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 08:37 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 08:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.